MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukees Luis Urias in the fourth inning. For now, all eyes are on Flaherty and Wainwright. Strikeouts are booming like never before. Adam Wainwright - Baseball-Reference.com Even in the he falls short but not short enough to not make it hypothetical, the easiest path is likely for Adam Wainwright to post 8.1 WAR under both methods. (Photo by Justin Berl/Getty Images), Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season. I took a look at 10 active starting pitchers with borderline Hall of Fame resumes and broke down their odds of enshrinement. The ageless Bartolo Colon leads all active pitchers with 235, CC Sabathia is next at 230, and then its down to John Lackey at 180. Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Flipboard (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window). The 40-year . For this dispatch, Ill first turn my attention to the pitchers, then backtrack to cover a handful of others position players and pitchers in a more lightning-round fashion. The pandemic-shortened 2020 campaign, in which Wainwright went 5-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 10 starts, amounted to a fourth lost season for the right-hander, who missed all of 2011 recovering from Tommy John surgery and made just seven appearances (four starts) due to a torn Achilles in 2015 before he was limited to eight starts by right elbow inflammation in 2018. The good news is that Sale is missing bats and taking names, offering hope that the 32-year-old lefty can resume a quest for Cooperstown that was beginning to come into focus before he was injured. Hes racked up four seasons worth 67 WAR, plus a fifth at 5.7 and a sixth at 4.9; to improve that peak score substantially, he needs big seasons. Theres a good chance no pitcher will again crack the 300-win plateau, a mark that has been achieved 24 times throughout the sports history. We didn't recognize that password reset code. His monitor score is only an 87. Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. It's an ex-Chip's Worldand we're just picking up the pieces. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. Opinion | Is Adam Wainwright a Hall of Famer? - KSDK.com He is known for being a Baseball Player. Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe and Mastodon @jay_jaffe. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. 1st stage: All good. It is possible that he ends up as one of those players who hangs around the ballot for his decade of eligibility, getting a boost because of his time in St. Loius, but the only way he ends up in Cooperstown will be with a ticket. It's not the be-all end-all but his baseball reference kind of shows that he really shouldn't make it. By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. MLB starting pitcher who won a World Series Championship with the St. Louis Cardinals in 2006 and was a member of the Cardinals . While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. Once Molina has been. . Updated: Friday, March 3, 2023 11:11 PM ET, Park Factors It airs Monday through Thursday from 3-6 p.m. and Friday from 4-6 p.m. You can listen by streaming online or by downloading the show podcast at 590thefan.com or the 590 app. Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. . He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Hes even seen somewhat of a career resurgence after struggling from 2014-2015, he rebounded to lead the AL in strikeouts in 16. Adam Wainwright Future Hall of Fame Candidates: N.L. Godspeed, Waino. In the spirit of giving my readers what they want, heres a lightning round, where Ill keep things uncharacteristically brief. Even 250 wins is a rare accomplishment at this point. Required fields are marked *. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. Upon losing in the Wild Card round, the franchise's attention shifted to the offseason and what will happen to some of their aging players. The good news is that even with a modest 2.6 WAR this year, hes in his seventh-best season and can make tracks towards the third base peak standard (43.1 WAR). DRS changes, injuries, and the shortened season have dealt the slugging third basemans case a set of blows in recent years, making it even harder to overcome his late start. Despite dealing with shoulder soreness and some rough stretches, Greinke the active leader in JAWS has pitched an AL-high 159.2 innings, though he will probably get overtaken after landing on the COVID-19 IL on Tuesday. But if youd told me four years ago when his career looked absolutely left for dead that I would even half-heartedly entertain the notion, I would have doubted that even more. For relievers, Im using the WAR-and-WPA hybrid stat via which Ive examined recent candidates such as Mariano Rivera, Trevor Hoffman, and Billy Wagner. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) Adam Wainwright was one of many players lucky enough to have shared a clubhouse with Scott Rolen, the newest member of the Baseball Hall of Fame.. Outside of Clayton Kershaw, he may be the most dominant pitcher in the game right now; FanGraphs credits Scherzer with more WAR than any non-Kershaw pitcher (25.9) since 2013. Mike Trout, center field (76.2 career | 65.1 Peak | 70.6 JAWS, +0.5 JAWS). Look at that. Its Wainwrights final MLB season before retirement, and (mostly) anything goes. Astros @ Cardinals. Sabermetrics lover. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. Still, Hernandez has quite a resume over the last decade hes been named to six All-Star teams, won 156 games for a perennially-losing franchise that hasnt sniffed the postseason, and hes won a Cy Young award to go with multiple ERA titles. 4th stage: The latest MRI showed something that was a little off, and we think its smart to do more tests and let him go get a second opinion. "Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires." - Connor Looker Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburghs Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. Sep 14, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) pitches against the Milwaukee Brewers during the fifth inning at Busch Stadium. 82-53, 2.99 ERA, 1,380 strikeouts, 138 adjusted ERA. A similarly impressive 2022 and perhaps 2023, though upon signing a one-year extension with the Cardinals last week, Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season added to his 2017-14 peak would nudge him ever closer to a Cooperstown-worthy body of work and at the least underline the kind of company hes already keeping. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. Even though three different physical problems were cited to explain Wainwrights plummeting velocity and ineffective pitching? As for R-JAWS, hes entered the top 20, but as he approaches both his 34th birthday and free agency, the question of how many more years hell be trusted to handle the ninth inning looms. Alas, just before the All-Star break, the 33-year-old southpaw landed on the injured list due to inflammation in his left forearm and hasnt even gotten to the point of a rehab stint yet after suffering a setback in late July. It just was not the type of career that was worthy of the Hall of Fame. He has put together a solid career, posting a 193-114 record with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.208 WHiP over his 2538.2 innings . Your email address will not be published. Hall of Very Good. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). 2020 has given us many poor and distasteful things, but it's giving me a glimpse into the future for some wild reason. At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. I found But, while neither was young, per se, by baseball standards (it was deGroms age-30 season and Scherzers age-33), there is a big leap to get to Adam Wainwrights age-40 season which looms ahead. St. Louis Cardinals: Bad luck, bad timing hurt Wainwright's pedigree Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. Bernie On The Cardinals: Wainwright and Flaherty In Spring Training Greinke was dominant for the 2009 Kansas City Royals, winning the league ERA crown (2.16) and leading the AL in WHIP (1.073), and even better for the 2015 Los Angeles Dodgers, posting a ridiculous 1.66 ERA and at one point throwing 43.2 consecutive scoreless innings over six starts. Wainwright was a three time All Star and two time Gold Glove winner, finishing in the top three of the NL Cy Young vote four times. Adam Wainwright in 2021 His lifetime ERA is 3.35 and has dropped nearly a tenth of a point over the last two seasons. Its an unfortunate injury that was sustained to of all places his throwing shoulder. Ive lost track. MILWAUKEE -- Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. As a result, Ive chosen not to include him on this article. One Wainwright is a lot closer to establishing than perhaps even he realizes. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. On one hand, its spring training and a lot of pitchers get pounded early in exhibition games as they prepare for the run-up to the regular season. Hes never pitched for a World Series champion, and his career postseason statistics wont help him hes 2-8 with a 5.54 ERA, and hes gotten completely shelled on multiple occasions. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Well have to wait and see. But he didnt become a full-time starter until his age-24 season, and hes now pitched for a quarter of the American League teams. I am a big fan, not as a universal absolute but as a general guideline, of the Jay Jaffe JAWS system, a thing I have mentioned repeatedly in my writing, though I also prefer to use a hybrid model which incorporates a players career performance and his seven best individual seasons (his peak) as measured not only by Baseball Reference but by FanGraphs (in most non-catcher cases, over the course of a career, this doesnt make a huge difference, but in the most discussed cases, the margins are so thin that I am happy to look at as much data as possible). That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . Greinke has won an ERA title in each league. Prices highlights include a 2012 Cy Young award, two ERA titles, and five 200-strikeout seasons. 2/4/18 Super Bowl champs. While wins arent everything, Ive chosen to list them chronologically by career win total as a benchmark of evaluation. He, of course, can retract this, but as he is now in his 40s, Im inclined to believe hes serious. FASTBALLS JET ACROSS the baseball atmosphere in this era, booming into catchers' mitts at 100 mph or faster, and amid that sound of speed, there is Adam Wainwright's curveball. Please logout and login again. On Saturday, June 11, 25,000 fans, ages 16 and older, will take home one of their replica . Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look.

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